Jordan’s transition to a green economy is a national priority driven by climate, resource, and labor market challenges. The country is highly vulnerable to climate change, extreme water scarcity, and dependence on energy and food imports, alongside persistent socioeconomic challenges, including high youth unemployment, low female labor force participation, and high poverty rates. In response, national policy promotes a green economic transition as a pathway to enhance resilience while reshaping Jordan’s labor market by creating new green jobs and greening existing roles.

To inform the potential co-benefits of Jordan’s green economic transition, this report assesses the potential for green employment creation in the country from 2025 to 2031. The analysis focuses on seven economic sectors expected to implement environmentally sustainable and socially inclusive measures: agriculture, transport, construction, tourism, water management, energy, and waste management. With a particular focus on an inclusive green transition, the report examines the employment impacts on vulnerable groups, particularly women, youth, and refugees.

Insights garnered from this analysis will help inform Jordan’s just transition towards an inclusive green economy, in line with national strategies including the Economic Modernisation Vision (EMV) and the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). As this report indicates, transitioning to a green economy could be a crucial government strategy to promote economic growth, enhance economic diversification and competitiveness, expand diverse employment opportunities across sectors and skill levels, and develop a sustainable, resilient economy.

The employment impact assessment in this report utilizes a top-down, input-output (IO) modeling approach, following the International Labour Organization’s (ILO) Green Jobs Assessment Institutions Network (GAIN) methodology. This method estimates temporary and permanent jobs, differentiated into direct, indirect, and induced employment generated by sustainable investments. The analysis compares two scenarios: a Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario, which projects employment based on current economic growth trends without new green investments, and a Greening Scenario, which models the employment effects of selected additional sustainable investments across the seven sectors.